Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $886.59
- Potential payout
- $104.31K
- Potential profit
- $103.42K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$239.9
Polymarket Trader
FakeMichaelBurry
0x454ee1b0ac6583a4507added41337e7a99b7636d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.36K
- Realized PnL
- -$253.68
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $302.45
- Potential payout
- $21.6K
- Potential profit
- $21.3K
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$207.55
Yes position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- User PnL
- -$162.14
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $113.4
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$173.79
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- User PnL
- -$95
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$49.15
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $53.68
- Potential payout
- $902.2
- Potential profit
- $848.52
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$44.66
Yes position
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $428.57
- Potential profit
- $428.57
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.58
- Potential profit
- $199.58
- User PnL
- -$95.8
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $105.26
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.65
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.08
Yes position
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.12
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.34
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39.54
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$64.85
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$127.51
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$177.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes 48% 95.42 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes 48% 104.17 shares
- Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?Yes 24% 200 shares
- Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?Yes 25% 200 shares
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.8% 12,891.66 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.9% 902.2 shares
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.8% 13,021.88 shares
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes 1.4% 714.29 shares
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.4% 29,042.86 shares
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.9% 20,756.36 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 5.9% 1,610.17 shares
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2.4% 42,359.92 shares