Polymarket Trader

0x455f1A436dd3c9DA7DECd69A8dDf99c7326B8e32-1772309774058

0x455f1a436dd3c9da7decd69a8ddf99c7326b8e32

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $645.52
Realized PnL: -$299.01
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $277.27
Potential payout: $9.09K
Potential profit: $8.81K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$22.71

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $334.01
Potential payout: $381.72
Potential profit: $47.72
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $29.01

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.72
Potential profit: $87.72
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $23.69
Potential payout: $29.07
Potential profit: $5.38
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $10.55
Potential payout: $11.75
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $48.86

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.21

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $9.23

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

No position

Starmer out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.4%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$19.22

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Multiplier: 22.99x
User PnL: -$22.88

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$49.98

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$62.5

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$82.14

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$93.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 9,090.91 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 3,571.42 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 3,571.43 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 6,122.44 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 14,285.71 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 14,285.71 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.9% 6,122.45 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.3% 2,000 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.5% 2,000 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 86.8% 115.2 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.7% 1,262.62 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.8% 757.58 shares