Polymarket Trader

Xervia-tody

0x456559be28a485b083e042e5f140be3eff4e6549

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $287.21
Realized PnL: $2.48K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Mexico position

First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. Italy

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $287.21
Potential payout: $675.79
Potential profit: $388.58
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$3.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$18

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $250 end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.97
Potential profit: $166.97
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will MrBeast hit 479 million subscribers by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.18
Potential profit: $121.18
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.83
Potential profit: $112.83
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12K

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.03

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.78

Yes position

Will one person dissent the March Fed decision?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.86

No position

Will MrBeast hit 472 Million subscribers by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$4

Venezuela position

First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Dominican Rep.

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 56% 4,821.43 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 43% 675.79 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 68% 428.22 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 69% 270.06 shares
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Yes 2.4% 89.28 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 7% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Yes 15% 354.16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Yes 13% 286.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Yes 10% 273 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Yes 14.4% 338.34 shares
Will MrBeast hit 479 million subscribers by April 30?

No 0.8% 121.18 shares