Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.75K
- Potential profit
- $19.75K
- User PnL
- -$2.08K
Polymarket Trader
0x4568801f3AF0108E73E83356238938f73947d9F6-1772313774333
0x4568801f3af0108e73e83356238938f73947d9f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $807.94
- Realized PnL
- $12.94K
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
FUT Esports position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.21K
- Potential profit
- $12.21K
- User PnL
- -$2.06K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $807.94
- Potential payout
- $10.77K
- Potential profit
- $9.96K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $958.39
- Potential profit
- $958.39
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82K
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02K
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $433.85
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.25
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.79
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.51
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38.43
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$42.88
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 16.7% 413.97 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 17.3% 5,772.59 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSpirit 99% 8,606.6 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSpirit 43.9% 2,277.02 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSpirit 55.3% 6,329.58 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons 99% 4,551.15 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons 44.1% 1,359.67 shares
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons 47% 3,191.49 shares
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA 99.9% 2,155.75 shares
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA 37.1% 2,155.75 shares
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz 22.3% 1,426.06 shares
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz 32% 1,426.06 shares