Polymarket Trader

ox4569DDCfDdE68a9A5ee49CD12b6620A141CEec91

0x4569ddcfdde68a9a5ee49cd12b6620a141ceec91

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $120.87
Realized PnL: $11.76
Win rate: 76.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $378.98
Potential profit: $378.23
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $371.48
Potential profit: $370.37
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $196.67
Potential profit: $196.27
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $169.05
Potential profit: $168.03
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$2.54

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $139.6
Potential profit: $139.11
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $54.44
Potential payout: $113.41
Potential profit: $58.97
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$15.51

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $36.39
Potential payout: $95.77
Potential profit: $59.38
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$5.53

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $92.62
Potential profit: $91.55
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $22.58
Potential profit: $17.62
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $21.47
Potential profit: $19.43
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $13.63
Potential profit: $8.86
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $13.5
Potential profit: $12.76
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $12.44
Potential profit: $10.94
Multiplier: 8.26x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.18
Potential profit: $10.18
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $9.84
Potential profit: $9.46
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $9.63
Potential profit: $8.13
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.82

No position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $7.88
Potential profit: $6.54
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $7.53
Potential profit: $6.51
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $5.32
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $5.83
Potential profit: $4.55
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $4.89
Potential profit: $4.63
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$0.85

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $3.47
Potential profit: $2.06
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $2.14
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $2.11
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 32%
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77%
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Yes 40% 5.63 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Yes 40% 5.63 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Yes 40% 5.63 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Yes 40% 5.63 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Yes 40% 5.63 shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?

Yes 27% 5 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Yes 37% 20 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 87% 5.28 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 87% 5.28 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 87% 5.28 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 87% 4.14 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 86% 5 shares