Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $20.57
- Potential payout
- $613.91
- Potential profit
- $593.34
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$4.43
Polymarket Trader
SantoPellegrino
0x456fe5e75b6188782df0ba9b2c8260d541499430
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $87.9
- Realized PnL
- $288.73
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $366.73
- Potential profit
- $366.73
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $53.33
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $280
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$26.67
Yes position
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $167
- Potential profit
- $167
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $13.19
- Potential payout
- $125.6
- Potential profit
- $112.41
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$3.76
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.12
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.21
- Potential profit
- $63.21
- User PnL
- -$8.75
No position
GPT ads by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $51
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.78
- Potential profit
- $30.78
- User PnL
- -$20.93
No position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.8
- Potential profit
- $27.8
- User PnL
- -$9.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.26
No position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $53.56
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 31-32°F on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.4
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.68
Yes position
Will Powell say "Layoffs" during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$7.03
Yes position
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.27
No position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?Yes 5% 200 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?Yes 4% 125.63 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?Yes 3.5% 288.29 shares
- Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?Yes 14% 214.26 shares
- Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes 30.3% 68.96 shares
- Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 47.3% 54.29 shares
- Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?No 98.2% 95.23 shares
- Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 5.5% 366.73 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
- Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 1.8% 54.3 shares
- Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 0.5% 200 shares