Polymarket Trader

ARararara

0x457582f1e3f2cb52309f975f4c02aa50e55238d1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.97K
Realized PnL: $4.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $26.01K
Potential payout: $49.54K
Potential profit: $23.53K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $247.74

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $2.96K
Potential payout: $38.69K
Potential profit: $35.73K
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: -$1.64K

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $4.9K
User PnL: -$4.07K

Yes position

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $959.4
Potential profit: $959.4
User PnL: -$502.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $215.92
Potential profit: $215.92
User PnL: -$200

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.16
Potential profit: $104.16
User PnL: -$45.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.6
Potential profit: $61.6
User PnL: -$49.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.42

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 84% 83.33 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 49,537.15 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 4,819.28 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 98.8% 11.33 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 98.1% 30,796.71 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 86% 11,425.63 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 86% 5,813.95 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 86% 11,627.91 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 85% 1,940.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Down 96.6% 103.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Down 89% 112.36 shares
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 52.5% 952.83 shares