Yes position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $58.2
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- $18.06
Polymarket Trader
0x45888dAC5425E5FACc8623f7171AB0E577b218b0-1772889360246
0x45888dac5425e5facc8623f7171ab0e577b218b0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $60.35
- Realized PnL
- $27.69
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $14.34
- Potential profit
- $12.19
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $25.11
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 97.1% 8 shares