No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $7.35
- Potential payout
- $7.63
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
0x458c...ba04
0x458c058021ef0967c8a497b10a69fa4149dbba04
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $7.35
- Realized PnL
- $0.69
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Polymarket update