No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $175.01
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$17
Polymarket Trader
88888stupidmoney
0x458c5bfd9bff538f98216a67b156832e7486c504
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.04K
- Realized PnL
- $788.97
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $169
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $31
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $151
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $49
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$27
No position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $169.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $30.1
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $185
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $171.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $28.1
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $174.99
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $187.49
- Potential payout
- $199.56
- Potential profit
- $12.07
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.02
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $178.11
- Potential payout
- $199
- Potential profit
- $20.9
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $145.42
- Potential payout
- $179.53
- Potential profit
- $34.11
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$8.98
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.9%
- Current value
- $133.02
- Potential payout
- $166.59
- Potential profit
- $33.57
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$8.75
No position
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $115.57
- Potential payout
- $127
- Potential profit
- $11.43
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $95.52
- Potential payout
- $100.02
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $92
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $8
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
N
No position
Will there be 25+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $97.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.05
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $95.1
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.9
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $94.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $42.5
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $57.49
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$42.5
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $53.92
- Potential payout
- $99.86
- Potential profit
- $45.94
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$30.96
No position
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $93.74
- Potential payout
- $99.57
- Potential profit
- $5.82
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $94.01
- Potential payout
- $99.01
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.43
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $82.65
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $12.35
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $61.78
- Potential payout
- $70.01
- Potential profit
- $8.23
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.33
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.52
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.91
No position
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.23
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.39
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.1
No position
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.87
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.43
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.12
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.51
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.48
No position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.9
No position
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.39
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.06
No position
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.08
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.89
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.9
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
No position
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.37
No position
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.05
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 50.07 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 35.93 shares
- Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No 99% 50 shares
- Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.3% 50 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.1% 102.61 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 98% 1 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 96.1% 14.28 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 96% 35.72 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.1% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.1% 11 shares
- Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 95.2% 13.65 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.3% 50 shares