s0lar1st

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $485
Potential profit: $485
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $480
Potential profit: $480
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $475
Potential profit: $475
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $389.61
Potential profit: $389.42
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $330
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $310
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $293.25
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $298.35
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $269.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $248.88
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $228.05
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.01
Potential profit: $220.01
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $9.44
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $210.56
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: $9.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185
Potential profit: $185
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165
Potential profit: $165
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.76

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.81

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.43

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?