Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0x459f0Bdd2bB0F237EE2000B77101b33875C3E250-1769135742737
0x459f0bdd2bb0f237ee2000b77101b33875c3e250
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.34
- Realized PnL
- $342.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.97
- Potential profit
- $64.97
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.83
- Potential profit
- $58.83
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $9.52
- Potential payout
- $56.82
- Potential profit
- $47.3
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- $4.52
No position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.3
- Potential profit
- $55.3
- User PnL
- -$11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.44
- Potential profit
- $44.44
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.04
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.51
- Potential profit
- $33.51
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $30.49
- Potential profit
- $26.66
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.33
No position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.61
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.39
No position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.6
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.88
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.71
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Japan position
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.76
Y
Yes position
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No 29% 6.9 shares
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?No 86% 66.66 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETDown 5% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETDown 38% 5.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETUp 37% 4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETUp 25% 4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETDown 6% 54.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETDown 2% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETDown 24% 4.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETUp 48% 6.66 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETUp 30% 6.67 shares