Polymarket Trader

0x45a1...e4ec

0x45a1bdfbd0b0e73fb7a2ac9ae6a932db0409e4ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $1.38K
Realized PnL: $211.72
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.7%
Current value: $956.94
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $275.44
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $302.86
Potential payout: $747.8
Potential profit: $444.94
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $28.42

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $51.78
Potential payout: $429.72
Potential profit: $377.94
Multiplier: 8.30x
User PnL: -$19.55

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.1%
Current value: $65.54
Potential payout: $81.87
Potential profit: $16.33
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $2.66

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.76

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 59.5%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$6.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 61.8% 1,509.39 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Yes 90% 2,177.61 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 39.1% 1,657.76 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 36.7% 2,405.56 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.6% 429.72 shares

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