No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $380.39
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $91.05
Polymarket Trader
Chaeman4
0x45aec2a10791600a2f5b5d1cb5e65aaf029b9e02
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.09K
- Realized PnL
- -$100.48
- Win rate
- 40.9%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $231.67
- Potential profit
- $231.67
- User PnL
- -$139
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $39.25
- Potential payout
- $211.58
- Potential profit
- $172.33
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.57
- Potential profit
- $194.57
- User PnL
- -$179
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.04
No position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $22.53
Over position
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.35
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.75
Over position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.29
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
Over position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Over position
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Germany position
Spread: Germany (-1.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Over position
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.31
Over position
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Over position
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.76
No position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.94
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$9.02
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$307.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.6% 157.53 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 57% 12.28 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 57% 17.54 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 54.05 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?No 53% 18.87 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?No 25% 20 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?No 37% 27.03 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 58% 17.24 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 64.5% 759.98 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 51% 1,050.94 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 65% 113.85 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?No 60% 125 shares