Yes position
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $93
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.91K
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$207
Polymarket Trader
mocamoca
0x45b2cb2ae97f7dd81aa20058337a7a8b29b4cbc1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.38K
- Realized PnL
- $47.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$299.77
Yes position
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $689.11
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $389.41
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $511.56
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $952.56
Yes position
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $86
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- User PnL
- -$220.14
Yes position
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $485.52
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $670.48
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $265.88
Yes position
Will Breece Hall be traded?
Ends Jul 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $9.43
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$126.81
No position
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $934.71
- Potential payout
- $934.71
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $785.16
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $846
- Potential payout
- $846
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $626.04
No position
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $795.69
- Potential payout
- $842
- Potential profit
- $46.31
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $635.71
No position
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $686.21
- Potential payout
- $686.21
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $597
Yes position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $5.77
- Potential payout
- $678.46
- Potential profit
- $672.69
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$89.22
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $626.26
- Potential profit
- $626.26
- User PnL
- -$81.41
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $532.14
- Potential payout
- $588
- Potential profit
- $55.86
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $432.18
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $377.85
- Potential payout
- $381.86
- Potential profit
- $4.01
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $271.69
No position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.74
- Potential payout
- $343
- Potential profit
- $340.26
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$52.14
No position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $295.57
- Potential payout
- $295.57
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $218.72
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285
- Potential profit
- $285
- User PnL
- -$39.9
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $249.99
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $219.99
No position
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $149.85
- Potential payout
- $185
- Potential profit
- $35.15
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $122.1
No position
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $175.38
- Potential payout
- $175.38
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $136.8
No position
ECB rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.58
- Potential profit
- $128.58
- User PnL
- -$12.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91K
No position
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87K
No position
Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
Josh Hokit position
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15K
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
JJ Aldrich position
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
No position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
No position
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 150k?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
Sonay Kartal position
BNP Paribas Open: Sonay Kartal vs Emma Navarro
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Magic position
Mavericks vs. Magic
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Jr. position
Zuffa Boxing 4: Palma vs. Jr. (Featherweight, Main)
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
Will Dispatch win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
No position
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
No position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes 40% 666 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on April 25?Yes 0.1% 3,166.52 shares
- Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes 42.9% 1,570 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 24?No 2.9% 34.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 24?Yes 0.1% 215.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 24?No 5% 94.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 24?Yes 1% 296.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 24?No 5% 7.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on April 24?Yes 0.1% 296.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 24?No 8.7% 198.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 24?Yes 0.1% 169.11 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?No 9.6% 250.47 shares