Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.13K
- Potential profit
- $4.13K
- User PnL
- -$150
Polymarket Trader
cisworker
0x45b71f4807013c8bde1298936f13f088a12e2ddc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $391.88
- Realized PnL
- $1.82K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.74
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$46.26
OpenAI position
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $863.45
- Potential profit
- $861.29
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.84
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $788.95
- Potential profit
- $788.95
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $710.36
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$46.07
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $662.91
- Potential profit
- $662.91
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $10.67
- Potential payout
- $592.8
- Potential profit
- $582.13
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$39.33
Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $20.53
- Potential payout
- $494.68
- Potential profit
- $474.15
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$9.47
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $58.28
- Potential payout
- $451.82
- Potential profit
- $393.54
- Multiplier
- 7.75x
- User PnL
- $8.28
Yes position
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $396.32
- Potential profit
- $396.32
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $318.33
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.2%
- Current value
- $151.61
- Potential payout
- $301.76
- Potential profit
- $150.16
- Multiplier
- 1.99x
- User PnL
- $101.61
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $29.7
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $270.3
- Multiplier
- 10.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $6.09
- Potential payout
- $284.59
- Potential profit
- $278.5
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$43.91
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $9.13
- Potential payout
- $280.93
- Potential profit
- $271.8
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$40.87
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $252.53
- Potential profit
- $250.13
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$47.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $195.97
- Potential profit
- $195.97
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $36.99
- Potential payout
- $180.44
- Potential profit
- $143.45
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$13.01
Yes position
Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $4.78
- Potential payout
- $177.18
- Potential profit
- $172.39
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$25.22
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $36.87
- Potential payout
- $150.51
- Potential profit
- $113.63
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$13.13
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $146.05
- Potential profit
- $146.05
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $617.33
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600.38
Yes position
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.85
Yes position
Will Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.34
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.08
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.1
Yes position
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.08
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Norway position
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
France position
Spread: France (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Austria position
Spread: Austria (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?Yes 16.9% 177.18 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes 33.3% 149.96 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 77.7% 64.38 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Yes 27.7% 180.44 shares
- Spread: France (-2.5)France 21% 47.62 shares
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Portugal 29% 34.48 shares
- Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes 26% 38.46 shares
- Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?Yes 20% 75 shares
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Ghana 20% 50 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal 52% 19.23 shares