No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.39K
- Potential profit
- $15.39K
- User PnL
- -$99.99
Polymarket Trader
0x45cDF20614a9fD73b859C7F21416Fc77B3fB14dd-1773579520647
0x45cdf20614a9fd73b859c7f21416fc77b3fb14dd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $122.83
- Realized PnL
- $369.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.89
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $81.46
- Potential payout
- $857.51
- Potential profit
- $776.05
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$28.54
Yes position
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $638.36
- Potential profit
- $638.36
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $415.73
- Potential profit
- $415.73
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $323.15
- Potential profit
- $322.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$49.84
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $20.71
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $122.14
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$29.29
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $19.38
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $105.63
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$10.63
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Dominican Rep. position
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.08
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 15.5% 323.15 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes 24% 125 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?Yes 0.9% 1,111.11 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes 12.8% 857.51 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 5.8% 1,884.34 shares
- Crude Oil all time high by April 30?Yes 4% 1,254 shares
- Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?Yes 7.8% 638.36 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 35% 142.86 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes 13.1% 381.25 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No 0.6% 15,390.19 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes 13% 384.62 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes 26% 38.46 shares