Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $19.17
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$10.83
Polymarket Trader
bon23.
0x45e033487c5f8bcf577b8f47094c977c844215cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $422.18
- Realized PnL
- $4.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $45.16
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $4.41
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $987.5
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $75.33
- Potential payout
- $610
- Potential profit
- $534.66
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- $7.32
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $25.68
- Potential payout
- $540.54
- Potential profit
- $514.86
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $445.42
- Potential profit
- $445.42
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $421.68
- Potential profit
- $421.68
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $28.29
- Potential payout
- $419.15
- Potential profit
- $390.86
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$11.71
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $57.94
- Potential payout
- $418.35
- Potential profit
- $360.41
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$13.06
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $82.35
- Potential payout
- $416.96
- Potential profit
- $334.61
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $11.05
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $7.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $392.6
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $22.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $377.4
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $14.16
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $385.84
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- $9.36
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.98
- Potential profit
- $223.98
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $10.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $189.9
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$6.7
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187.08
- Potential profit
- $187.08
- User PnL
- -$45.9
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.63
- Potential profit
- $148.63
- User PnL
- -$17.39
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.5
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.42
- Potential profit
- $130.42
- User PnL
- -$4.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.22
- Potential profit
- $115.22
- User PnL
- -$5.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Yes position
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $21.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $78.5
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
No position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $716.75
Yes position
Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.3
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.7
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.51
Yes position
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.63
Yes position
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.43
Yes position
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.24
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.46
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.17
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.07
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.43
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.07
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.93
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.56
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Yes position
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.03
Yes position
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 40% 7.5 shares
- Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes 17% 20 shares
- Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 34% 10 shares
- Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 29% 10 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes 3.5% 30 shares
- Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes 16% 30 shares
- Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?Yes 6% 30 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 19.3% 26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 16?Yes 20% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 16?Yes 26% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?Yes 1% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?Yes 13.9% 59.99 shares