Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $72.8
- Potential payout
- $159.99
- Potential profit
- $87.19
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $21.6
Polymarket Trader
chahua
0x45e05d746cbf6a3c4d9c32ba3a1c06d113d5fb31
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $73.41
- Realized PnL
- $9.93K
- Win rate
- 21.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $32.39
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.33K
No position
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
No position
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.5
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Russel Westbrook win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will another team win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Russian Ruble ₽120 to $1 USD in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $87000 on Mar 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.19
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39.2
No position
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$65.15
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- -$96.29
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$401.22
Yes position
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$739.63
No position
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.42K
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.67K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 80.6% 37,324 shares
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No 69% 30,083 shares
- Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No 77% 26,958 shares
- Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No 77% 26,958 shares
- Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No 78% 26,612 shares
- Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No 78% 26,612 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes 53.8% 37,964 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes 53.7% 620 shares
- Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?No 80% 25,996 shares
- Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?No 70% 25,996 shares
- Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 34.1% 15.01 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No 52% 15,000 shares