Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208
- Potential profit
- $208
- User PnL
- -$47.78
Polymarket Trader
Adelardo
0x45e354603bb66ce2ddf6f39c9c32f5f98491b5da
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $53.69
- Realized PnL
- $1.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165.7
- Potential profit
- $165.7
- User PnL
- -$44.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.39
- Potential profit
- $123.39
- User PnL
- -$54.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.24
- Potential profit
- $102.24
- User PnL
- -$57.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $74.18
- Potential profit
- $62.68
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$18.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $42.19
- Potential payout
- $72.12
- Potential profit
- $29.93
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $12.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?Yes 41% 74.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?Yes 41% 72.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?Yes 55.8% 102.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 21?Yes 23% 208 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?Yes 44.3% 123.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 20?Yes 27% 150.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?Yes 12% 1.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 18?Yes 64.1% 62.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?Yes 35% 45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?Yes 44% 27.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 18?Yes 43% 133.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?Yes 38% 134.15 shares