No position
Will Ethan Hawke be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $32
- User PnL
- -$5.76
Polymarket Trader
0x45ea...a5f8
0x45ea883ef64a22fca4e8901cc2dc28326d13a5f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $11.2
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$14.6
No position
Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.2m & 14.4m square kilometers?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
No position
Will the Miami Dolphins win 8 or more regular season games?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Arizona win the 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball regular season championship?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Benson Boone win Best New Artist?
Ends Feb 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
DeepSeek banned in US before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Bengals win the AFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Abdul Carter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?
Ends Apr 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Arizona win the 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball regular season championship?Yes 67% 2 shares
- Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No 73% 10 shares
- Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No 73% 10 shares
- Will the Miami Dolphins win 8 or more regular season games?No 85% 9 shares
- Will the Miami Dolphins win 8 or more regular season games?No 85% 10 shares
- Will the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East?No 74.8% 8 shares
- Will the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East?No 74.8% 8 shares
- Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?Yes 58% 5 shares
- Will the Bengals win the AFC Championship?No 99.5% 18.48 shares
- Will the Bengals win the AFC Championship?Yes 0.4% 18.48 shares
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 99% 18.51 shares
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 0.7% 18.51 shares