Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- User PnL
- -$40
Polymarket Trader
0x460292B6C1ab31145A9A19E5D26E0A3384cF4798-1770347027557
0x460292b6c1ab31145a9a19e5d26e0a3384cf4798
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $144.12
- Realized PnL
- $269.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 97 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$62.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- User PnL
- -$22.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $144.12
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $444.12
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $44.12
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.95
- Potential profit
- $499.95
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $481.12
- Potential profit
- $481.12
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $433.9
- Potential profit
- $433.9
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270.18
- Potential profit
- $270.18
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.94
- Potential profit
- $235.94
- User PnL
- -$110.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $188.4
- Potential profit
- $188.4
- User PnL
- -$33.55
Yes position
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $183.24
- Potential profit
- $183.24
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.93
- Potential profit
- $122.93
- User PnL
- -$52.38
No position
Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.34
- Potential profit
- $106.34
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102
- Potential profit
- $102
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.43
- Potential profit
- $91.43
- User PnL
- -$5.49
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.65
- Potential profit
- $66.65
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.44
- Potential profit
- $61.44
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.46
- Potential profit
- $55.46
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.47
- Potential profit
- $46.47
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.68
- Potential profit
- $36.68
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.41
- Potential profit
- $27.41
- User PnL
- -$9.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.83
Yes position
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.75
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.4
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No 17% 588.24 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?Yes 1.6% 621.44 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?Yes 1.5% 666.67 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?Yes 7% 285.71 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?Yes 15% 66.67 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?Yes 53% 80 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?Yes 25% 80 shares
- Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 97 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 4.7% 1,337.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp 18.1% 22.95 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp 42.9% 22.95 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETUp 64% 18.93 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETUp 52% 18.93 shares