Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $3.59K
- Potential payout
- $4.35K
- Potential profit
- $760.6
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $2.25K
Polymarket Trader
politicalsavant
0x460a20d648c4601abfcd0c71ec37eb6dfd26d738
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.27K
- Realized PnL
- $19.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $3.72K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $269.21
Yes position
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $166.93
- Potential payout
- $3.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.87K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.43K
Yes position
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $616.69
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $114.8
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $24.79
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $788.02
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $287.94
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$293.89
No position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $646.36
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $95.71
Yes position
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $10.73
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$703.89
No position
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $624.44
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $490.64
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$48.6
Yes position
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $942.8
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $104.76
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$7.89
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $841.5
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $178.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $188.15
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $165.43
- Potential payout
- $872.99
- Potential profit
- $707.56
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- -$10.42
No position
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $605.16
- Potential payout
- $738
- Potential profit
- $132.84
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $74.2
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $431.55
- Potential payout
- $725.91
- Potential profit
- $294.36
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $31.82
Yes position
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $613.84
- Potential payout
- $682.04
- Potential profit
- $68.2
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $45.5
No position
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $22.8
- Potential payout
- $661
- Potential profit
- $638.2
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$390.05
Yes position
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $402.99
- Potential payout
- $624.79
- Potential profit
- $221.8
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $48.69
Yes position
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $79.23
- Potential payout
- $519.51
- Potential profit
- $440.28
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $23.03
No position
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $356.35
- Potential payout
- $516.52
- Potential profit
- $160.17
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $32.01
Yes position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $397.49
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $102.5
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$22.7
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $199.02
- Potential payout
- $428
- Potential profit
- $228.98
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $18.73
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.6%
- Current value
- $98.38
- Potential payout
- $400.73
- Potential profit
- $302.35
- Multiplier
- 4.07x
- User PnL
- -$57.56
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $225.96
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $174.04
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $45.96
Yes position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $261.39
- Potential payout
- $365.58
- Potential profit
- $104.19
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $49.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
No position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $976.47
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $891.49
Yes position
Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $764.55
Yes position
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $752.37
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $746.21
Yes position
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $699.8
Dolphins position
Dolphins vs. Falcons
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $669.57
Capitals position
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $667.74
Jets position
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $637.66
Yes position
Will FC Metz win on 2025-11-02?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $633.33
Yes position
Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $601.31
Yes position
Will 1. FC Köln vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $599.5
No position
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $596.37
Wild position
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $582.35
Yes position
Will SC Freiburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $569.22
Jets position
Jets vs. Bengals
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.74
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $527.35
Yes position
Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 98.7% 765 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes 62% 21 shares
- Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?Yes 75% 20 shares
- Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?Yes 74% 30 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 13% 8 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 12% 10 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 12% 10 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 12% 10 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 12% 10 shares
- Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?Yes 92% 9 shares
- Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?No 93% 8 shares
- Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?Yes 92% 493 shares