No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $251.69
- Potential payout
- $423
- Potential profit
- $171.32
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $23.26
Polymarket Trader
RonaldEllis3048
0x460d24da6dac6039317f9551da2fbfd400536232
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $453.69
- Realized PnL
- $1.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $265
- Potential profit
- $265
- User PnL
- -$57.77
No position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $251
- Potential profit
- $251
- User PnL
- -$70.28
Yes position
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $44.2
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $125.8
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$100.3
No position
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $140.37
- Potential payout
- $142
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $35.29
Yes position
Will Turbo be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101
- Potential profit
- $101
- User PnL
- -$4.04
No position
Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79
- Potential profit
- $79
- User PnL
- -$10.27
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 3?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $73
- User PnL
- -$11.68
No position
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$31.5
No position
Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67
- Potential profit
- $67
- User PnL
- -$6.43
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.5
- Potential profit
- $65.5
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 5, 4PM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $53
- User PnL
- -$26.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Women's Sports" or "Transgender" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$15.5
Yes position
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $44
- User PnL
- -$12.76
Yes position
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $38
- User PnL
- -$3.84
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tariff" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$3.74
25 bps cut position
'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $28
- User PnL
- -$7.28
No position
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $12.76
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $9.24
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$2.64
Yes position
Will Legen_Eth win the Defi App trading competition?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$7.04
Yes position
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$2.94
No position
Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$2.64
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.8%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $2.32
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Over 8 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $262.48
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.47
No position
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.54
Yes position
Will Miami Florida make the College Football Playoff?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.16
No position
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.14
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.72
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.4
No position
Will Trump say "Border" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.84
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.75
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $37.44
Yes position
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.4
No position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.24
Yes position
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.84
Yes position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.62
Yes position
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.44
Yes position
Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.64
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $24.15
No position
Will Trump say "Peace" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.2
Yes position
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $22.6
Yes position
Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $21.51
No position
Will Dwayne Johnson be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.03
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9
Yes position
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 57% 436 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 86.5% 17 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 86.5% 14 shares
- Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No 99.7% 31 shares
- Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 74.2% 25 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No 52% 195 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No 52% 195 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 54% 859 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?No 86% 11 shares
- Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No 63% 349 shares
- Cerebras IPO before 2027?No 28% 251 shares
- Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No 65% 349 shares