Polymarket Trader

gizkuan

0x460dfc57e21f13d55df26e4c67580cd5805845e1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.7
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Mufasa position

'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office?

Ends Dec 23, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Celtics

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.09
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.94
Potential payout: $7.94
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will FDP be part of the next German government?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Pelicans position

Pelicans vs. Rockets

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Trail Blazers position

Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Lily Phillips sex event cancelled?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.7

Magic position

Thunder vs. Magic

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Suns

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

No position

Lily Phillips breaks record for sex in one day?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.61

No position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $1.45
User PnL: -$1

No position

Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?

Yes 51% 1.96 shares
Will FDP be part of the next German government?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu in 2024?

No 74% 1.35 shares
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?

No 84% 1.19 shares
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?

Yes 76% 1.32 shares
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers

Trail Blazers 24% 4.17 shares
Pacers vs. Suns

Pacers 30% 3.33 shares
Pelicans vs. Rockets

Pelicans 21% 4.76 shares
Bulls vs. Celtics

Bulls 11% 9.09 shares
Thunder vs. Magic

Magic 29% 3.45 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?

Yes 15% 6.67 shares
Lily Phillips breaks record for sex in one day?

No 62% 1.61 shares