Polymarket Trader

Realparis

0x46123e8840274e3e94aeacf7d2202530d3e6518c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.5
Realized PnL: $121.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $58.29
Potential profit: $58.26
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.49

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $11.29
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $8.82
Potential profit: $6.66
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $0.66

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.35

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.01

Yes position

Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96

Yes position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19

Yes position

Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

Yes position

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.58

Austria position

Spread: Austria (-1.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5

Over 15% 11.62 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Yes 20% 12.5 shares
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 31% 11.29 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5

Over 43% 11.63 shares
Spread: Austria (-1.5)

Austria 99.9% 4.54 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 99.9% 14.86 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 12% 10.53 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 13% 10.54 shares
Spread: Austria (-1.5)

Austria 44% 4.55 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 37% 14.86 shares
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Yes 31% 8.06 shares
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 0.5

Under 46% 3.26 shares