Polymarket Trader

yes99

@imqianyi88

0x461542cc73a75a5afd502b3591103bd100735ccb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.86K
Realized PnL: $9.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $60.35
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6.19

No position

Will Uzbekistan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $959.96
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $75.04
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $7.76

Yes position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $855
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $145
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $32.61

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $716.27
Potential payout: $782.81
Potential profit: $66.54
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $330.13

No position

Will Uruguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $714.35
Potential payout: $768.12
Potential profit: $53.77
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $7.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $533.96
Potential payout: $535.3
Potential profit: $1.34
User PnL: $12.04

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $12.11
Potential payout: $515.21
Potential profit: $503.1
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $4.38

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $7.98
Potential payout: $515.16
Potential profit: $507.18
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $515.13
Potential profit: $506.63
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $13.08
Potential payout: $515.04
Potential profit: $501.96
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $39.82
Potential payout: $513.79
Potential profit: $473.97
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$13.92

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $66.02
Potential payout: $513.77
Potential profit: $447.75
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $11.56

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $94.59
Potential payout: $512.68
Potential profit: $418.09
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $5.79

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $20.17
Potential payout: $510.72
Potential profit: $490.55
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $29.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $470.75
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$2.75

No position

Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $344.71
Potential payout: $378.8
Potential profit: $34.09
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $7.58

No position

Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $317.31
Potential payout: $373.3
Potential profit: $56
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $17.47

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $258.41
Potential payout: $358.9
Potential profit: $100.49
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$22.07

No position

Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $279.4
Potential payout: $328.7
Potential profit: $49.31
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $9.86

No position

Will Turkiye reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $283.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $16.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $10.5

No position

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $274.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $25.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $68.58
Potential payout: $279.91
Potential profit: $211.33
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $228.92
Potential payout: $277.48
Potential profit: $48.56
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$6.94

No position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $244.36
Potential payout: $263.32
Potential profit: $18.96
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$2.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $959.68

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $930.33

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $921.62

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $526.66

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470.36

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $374.37

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.8

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.89

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324.62

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.15

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.4

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.04

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.57

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.09

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.36

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.78

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.12

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.44

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $150

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.75

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.67

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 84% 395.37 shares
Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 79% 178 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 68% 23.16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 69% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 69% 42 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 69% 122.14 shares
Will Uruguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90% 132.34 shares
Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 85% 490.57 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?

No 32% 100 shares
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 92% 200 shares
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 92% 100 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?

No 19% 100 shares