Polymarket Trader

justloosing

0x46160445402c68694d635af4b3320907a652e881

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.15
Realized PnL: $2.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$210

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $521.4
Potential profit: $521.4
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be $37m or more?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $291.97
Potential profit: $291.97
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $241.49
Potential profit: $241.49
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.29
Potential profit: $235.29
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$67.39

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.89
Potential profit: $196.89
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.47
Potential profit: $176.47
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.54
Potential profit: $167.54
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?

Ends Jun 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.31
Potential profit: $105.31
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.48
Potential profit: $100.48
User PnL: -$3.45

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $135-145m?

Ends Jul 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $125-135m?

Ends Jul 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 75?

Ends Jun 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.7
Potential profit: $93.7
User PnL: -$20

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $86.96
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will "The Long Walk" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $15m?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.33
Potential profit: $58.33
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $29.15
Potential payout: $50.26
Potential profit: $21.11
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$10.85

Yes position

Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be 80 or higher?

Ends Jun 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.55
Potential profit: $44.55
User PnL: -$10

No position

Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 2024 have the hottest March on record?

Ends May 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $750.59

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2024?

Ends May 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.89

Yes position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.38

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.88

Yes position

Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.65

Yes position

Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.22

No position

Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross more than $125m on 5-day opening weekend?

Ends Jul 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.3

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.96

No position

Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.25

Yes position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross more than $108m opening weekend?

Ends Jun 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.67

Yes position

Will 'If' gross more than $33m opening weekend?

Ends May 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.1

Yes position

Will 'Bring Her Back' gross more than $6.5m opening weekend?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.09

No position

Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Yes position

Will Portugal win?

Ends Jun 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.06

No position

Will Croatia win Eurovision 2024?

Ends May 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

Yes position

Will 'Civil War' gross more than $23m opening weekend?

Ends Apr 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.2

Yes position

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.91

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group F?

Ends Jun 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.86

Yes position

Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.85

Yes position

Will 'Red One' gross more than $27m on opening weekend?

Ends Nov 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.61

No position

Will the AfD receive more than 16% of votes?

Ends Jun 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.43

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran by Friday?

Ends Apr 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.25

No position

Will 'The Fall Guy' gross more than $28m opening weekend?

Ends May 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

No 11.4% 263.7 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

No 17% 176.47 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

No 4.7% 212.77 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?

Yes 1.5% 680.71 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?

Yes 6% 167.54 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?

Yes 3.4% 100.48 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

No 16% 250 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?

Yes 0.8% 521.4 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

No 11% 136.36 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

No 23% 173.91 shares
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

No 26% 230.77 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 17.5% 5.71 shares