Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.35
- Potential profit
- $80.35
- User PnL
- -$13.66
Polymarket Trader
0x461df42E45dE05313cE71dc4A369cd2C62C2D439-1775636022973
0x461df42e45de05313ce71dc4a369cd2c62c2d439
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.97
- Realized PnL
- $29
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.4%
- Current value
- $10.43
- Potential payout
- $12.52
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $9.53
- Potential payout
- $12.14
- Potential profit
- $2.61
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600b on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–2.25 in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 79.9% 12.52 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes 82.3% 12.14 shares
- Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?Yes 73% 20.55 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 17% 80.35 shares
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?Yes 97% 29.41 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?No 94.6% 10.86 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No 98% 35.75 shares
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?Yes 85% 29.41 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?Yes 50.5% 18.98 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?Yes 79% 18.99 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?No 92% 10.87 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No 95.6% 35.75 shares