No position
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.3%
- Current value
- $869.27
- Potential payout
- $996.3
- Potential profit
- $127.03
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $321.31
Polymarket Trader
dade1000
0x4624d3624966b2360b58bbb639de147f454c0a84
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $899.02
- Realized PnL
- $8.6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17.7
- Potential payout
- $17.7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Current value
- $12.05
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Nets position
Nets vs. Kings
Ends Dec 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Suns
Ends Nov 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Timberwolves
Ends Dec 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Nets position
Hornets vs. Nets
Ends Nov 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $811.94
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $665.67
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Kings
Ends Dec 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $656.04
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.67
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Jazz
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360
No position
Will Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
Ends Nov 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.78
PSG position
Champions League Quarterfinals: PSG vs. Aston Villa
Ends Mar 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.99
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Will IF Elfsborg beat Tottenham?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
No position
Will Brentford win on 2025-01-01?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Celtic win on 2025-02-18?
Ends Feb 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will Leicester win on 2025-01-04?
Ends Jan 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Suns position
Hornets vs. Suns
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
US strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026No 55% 996.3 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 89% 17.3 shares
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian StateAppalachian State 66% 586.95 shares
- Raiders vs. BroncosRaiders 20% 1,500 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?No 81% 35.67 shares
- Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes 86.4% 15.2 shares
- US strikes Iran by October 31?No 98.2% 10.93 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 71% 15 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 85.5% 31.05 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 74% 30 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?No 97.7% 49.86 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 52% 17.7 shares