Polymarket Trader

0x46299c4a802b966bc018ac3864e19D1365988541-1767683738667

0x46299c4a802b966bc018ac3864e19d1365988541

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.9
Realized PnL: $390.87
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.85
Potential profit: $60.85
User PnL: -$10.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.94
Potential profit: $43.94
User PnL: -$5.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.3
Potential profit: $41.3
User PnL: -$5.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.41
Potential profit: $35.41
User PnL: -$7.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.1
Potential profit: $29.1
User PnL: -$6.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.71
Potential profit: $27.71
User PnL: -$9.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.78
Potential profit: $25.78
User PnL: -$10.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$8.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.89
Potential profit: $22.89
User PnL: -$5.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.81
Potential profit: $22.81
User PnL: -$6.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.61
Potential profit: $22.61
User PnL: -$10.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.92
Potential profit: $21.92
User PnL: -$9.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.18
Potential profit: $21.18
User PnL: -$9.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.8
Potential profit: $20.8
User PnL: -$4.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.56
Potential profit: $20.56
User PnL: -$9.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $14.1
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$6.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $19
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $19
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.08
Potential profit: $17.08
User PnL: -$9.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.91
Potential profit: $16.91
User PnL: -$3.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$3.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?

Yes 28% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 22?

Yes 28% 1.31 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?

Yes 28% 1.74 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 12?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11?

Yes 12% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?

Yes 21% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?

Yes 31% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 9?

Yes 35% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 8?

Yes 39% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?

Yes 27% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2?

Yes 33% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 2?

Yes 35% 5 shares