Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C or higher on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $65.08
- Potential profit
- $64.07
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Polymarket Trader
0x463a...af96
0x463a41ee75aae62fbf2c19d9bdd0133bfec1af96
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $100.76
- Realized PnL
- -$15.38
- Win rate
- 36.4%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $40.11
- Potential payout
- $40.15
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $12.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $36.75
- Potential payout
- $37.06
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- User PnL
- $7.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $33.08
- Potential profit
- $30.93
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $27.96
- Potential profit
- $27.9
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $10.62
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $14.08
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $16.87
- Potential profit
- $16.84
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $4.14
- Potential payout
- $14.53
- Potential profit
- $10.39
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $13.64
- Potential profit
- $13.62
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $6.47
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $2.82
- Potential payout
- $4.74
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $2.92
- Potential profit
- $1.83
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $5.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $3.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.13x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$12.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$13.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 29?No 85% 6.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 29?No 68% 6.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 29?No 61% 11.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29?Yes 36.1% 0.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?Yes 9.9% 0.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?Yes 10% 0.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?Yes 64% 2.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on June 30?Yes 38% 2.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C or higher on July 1?Yes 1.8% 65.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29?Yes 69.7% 0.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?Yes 65% 2.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29?Yes 43.9% 0.59 shares