No position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $299.55
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- User PnL
- $0.15
Polymarket Trader
swknb
@truth010680
0x464445315b6868cddc12e4240f0266b1ef5691dd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $516.69
- Realized PnL
- $45.68
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $199.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $13.73
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$9.24
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.7%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $6.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.37
Yes position
Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
Yes position
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Yes position
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?
Ends Sep 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Samia Suluhu Hassan win the 2025 Tanzania presidential election?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No 99.9% 100 shares
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No 99.9% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No 99.8% 498 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No 99.8% 498 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No 99.8% 496 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No 99.8% 499.58 shares
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No 99.9% 120.07 shares
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No 99.9% 120.07 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 93% 12.9 shares
- Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?No 99.9% 13.26 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes 96.4% 100 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 89% 12 shares