Polymarket Trader

56gh34

0x46445e735f5042279d93493d4d6da7a51289280e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $228.75
Realized PnL: $1.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $159
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $41
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$34

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$32

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$68.99

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.54
Potential profit: $152.54
User PnL: -$71.7

Over position

Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$63.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $32.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $67.25
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $15.05

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.5

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Rockets

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$21

Wizards position

Wizards vs. Hawks

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$14

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$19

Lakers position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$40

Nets position

Mavericks vs. Nets

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$9

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $37
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $62.99
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$37

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $66
User PnL: -$21.78

No position

Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$29.05

Mavericks position

Lakers vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.4

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88

Yes position

Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76

Knicks position

Rockets vs. Knicks

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

No position

Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Suns position

Magic vs. Suns

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Lakers position

Clippers vs. Lakers

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Raptors

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Nets

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 19?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.4

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.1

No position

Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?

No 34.1% 200 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 25?

Yes 45.6% 20 shares
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies

Grizzlies 73% 20 shares
Rockets vs. Pistons

Rockets 81% 10 shares
Grok 4.20 released by April 20?

No 5% 100 shares