Polymarket Trader

WeatherNewB

0x464ad65724f33616b72207ecc939a8980df1c419

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.93
Realized PnL: $80.35
Win rate: 65%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.66
Potential profit: $152.66
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.13
Potential profit: $128.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $73.7
Potential profit: $70.72
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$2.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $6.1
Potential payout: $72.17
Potential profit: $66.07
Multiplier: 11.83x
User PnL: $4.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.03
Potential profit: $61.03
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.3
Potential profit: $46.3
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.36
Potential profit: $28.36
User PnL: -$6.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.69
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.14
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $22.64
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.58
Potential profit: $27.58
User PnL: -$18.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.5
Potential profit: $27.5
User PnL: -$2.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.24
Potential profit: $26.24
User PnL: -$21.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.95
Potential profit: $25.95
User PnL: -$10.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $9.63
Potential payout: $25.34
Potential profit: $15.71
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $4.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $22
User PnL: -$1.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $22
User PnL: -$1.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C or higher on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.55

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.85

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 21?

No 60% 8.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 22?

Yes 6.8% 73.7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?

Yes 33% 15.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?

Yes 24% 20.83 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?

Yes 29% 17.24 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 19?

Yes 99.7% 11.11 shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 19?

Yes 99.9% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?

Yes 19.7% 25.34 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 20?

Yes 2.8% 72.17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?

Yes 99.9% 12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?

Yes 99.9% 22.72 shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 19?

Yes 3.9% 128.13 shares