No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $99.03K
- Potential payout
- $108.23K
- Potential profit
- $9.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.67K
Polymarket Trader
vacoolaaa
@vacoolaaaa
0x464e56bd1656931279b7e1006f50c2abc2d51a67
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $265.35K
- Realized PnL
- $116.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $105.52K
- Potential payout
- $106K
- Potential profit
- $477
- User PnL
- $6.18K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.38K
- Potential profit
- $51.38K
- User PnL
- -$26.65K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$27.6K
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26K
- Potential profit
- $26K
- User PnL
- -$21.19K
Yes position
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $15.79K
- Potential payout
- $19.14K
- Potential profit
- $3.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $5K
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $11.84K
- Potential payout
- $12.56K
- Potential profit
- $722.37
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $12.12K
- Potential payout
- $12.2K
- Potential profit
- $79.32
- User PnL
- $581.89
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $6.55K
- Potential payout
- $11.4K
- Potential profit
- $4.84K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$3.26K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$9.77K
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $406.35
- Potential payout
- $6.3K
- Potential profit
- $5.89K
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$601.65
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.38K
- Potential profit
- $5.38K
- User PnL
- -$3.78K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.52K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $475
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $425
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $403.42
- Potential payout
- $3.84K
- Potential profit
- $3.44K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$908.96
Yes position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $2.26K
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.65K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $350
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $990
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $1.57K
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $136.4
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $61.16
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $217.21
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $430.59
No position
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $938.59
- Potential payout
- $976.68
- Potential profit
- $38.09
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $640
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $160
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $19
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $285.27
- Potential payout
- $504.99
- Potential profit
- $219.72
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $67.57
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $367.49
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $132.5
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $47.5
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $82.79
- Potential payout
- $399.95
- Potential profit
- $317.16
- Multiplier
- 4.83x
- User PnL
- -$21.2
Yes position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $82.1
- Potential payout
- $298.53
- Potential profit
- $216.43
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $53.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.22K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.44K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.07K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.89K
Makhachev position
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.75K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32K
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84K
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
PARIVISION position
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 21?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3)
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 53.3% 9,375.59 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 60% 7,000 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev 83% 10,000 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?Yes 9% 339.97 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?Yes 10% 314.64 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 59.8% 178 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 57.6% 2,151.91 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 61% 232.07 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 63% 35.53 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 62.7% 132.38 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 62.9% 378 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 62.9% 130.1 shares