Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $18.67
- Potential payout
- $5.33K
- Potential profit
- $5.31K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Polymarket Trader
FatPika
0x464fd0572bb9a33fa11c9bbd4661652bd6088947
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $154.47
- Realized PnL
- $170.18
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $6.07
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.93
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $992.5
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $916.67
- Potential profit
- $911.63
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$5.96
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $27.96
- Potential payout
- $726.19
- Potential profit
- $698.23
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $14.96
Yes position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $587.21
- Potential profit
- $587.21
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $8.43
- Potential payout
- $581.18
- Potential profit
- $572.75
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $10.28
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $545.28
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $470.62
- Potential profit
- $470.62
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $12.75
- Potential payout
- $300.08
- Potential profit
- $287.32
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Yes position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.72
- Potential profit
- $299.72
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $13.07
- Potential payout
- $287.34
- Potential profit
- $274.27
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $3.07
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-06?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270.39
- Potential profit
- $270.39
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $11.8
- Potential payout
- $231.81
- Potential profit
- $220.01
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.75
- Potential profit
- $227.75
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Megaquake by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $8.21
- Potential payout
- $222
- Potential profit
- $213.79
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$9.55
Yes position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $8.72
- Potential payout
- $212.77
- Potential profit
- $204.04
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.27
- Potential profit
- $210.27
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $11.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $188.3
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.41
- Potential profit
- $198.41
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170.71
- Potential profit
- $170.71
- User PnL
- -$11.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.2
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.45
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.65
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $17.88
No position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.37
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.86
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.68
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.78
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $6.56
Yes position
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Multiplier
- 11.70x
- User PnL
- $6.15
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.07
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.81
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$5.44
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.41
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.7
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$88.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 4.8% 105.14 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.6% 833.33 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.6% 500 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 5% 60 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.5% 287.34 shares
- Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?Yes 43% 9.09 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 37% 31.25 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 18.3% 125 shares
- Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?Yes 1.8% 222.22 shares
- Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 4.7% 212.77 shares