Polymarket Trader

20faj2

0x4658515faa6bddcba47129450ed4766831444131

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $251K
Realized PnL: $117K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.9%
Current value: $58.43K
Potential payout: $245K
Potential profit: $186.57K
Multiplier: 4.19x
User PnL: -$64.07K

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 76.2%
Current value: $186.57K
Potential payout: $245K
Potential profit: $58.43K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $64.07K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.29K
Potential profit: $28.29K
User PnL: -$10.56K

Cavaliers position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$9.25K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $3.69K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.31K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $1.8K

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$11.4K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $1.94K
Potential payout: $16.53K
Potential profit: $14.59K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.03K
Potential profit: $15.03K
User PnL: -$1.03K

No position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$11.27K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.73K
Potential profit: $14.73K
User PnL: -$176.77

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $371.7
Potential payout: $14.63K
Potential profit: $14.26K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $98.47

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.61K
Potential profit: $11.61K
User PnL: -$392.16

Yes position

Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.5K
User PnL: -$349.96

Yes position

Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.5K
User PnL: -$349.96

Yes position

Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.5K
User PnL: -$349.96

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.5K
User PnL: -$349.96

Yes position

Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.5K
User PnL: -$349.96

Yes position

Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.5K
User PnL: -$349.96

Yes position

Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.5K
User PnL: -$349.96

Yes position

Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.5K
User PnL: -$349.96

Yes position

Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.5K
User PnL: -$349.96

Yes position

Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.5K
User PnL: -$349.96

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.5K
User PnL: -$349.96

Yes position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.5K
User PnL: -$349.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05K

Cavaliers position

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.7K

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.36K

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.27K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.02K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5K

Lakers position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.84K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55K

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5K

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3K

Yes position

Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5K

Yes position

Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.34K

Yes position

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91K

Flyers position

Canadiens vs. Flyers

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75K

No position

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74K

Golden Knights position

Golden Knights vs. Avalanche

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74K

Lakers position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73K

Yes position

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55K

Lakers position

Spread: Thunder (-12.5)

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55K

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Baltimore Orioles position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41K

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.38K

Celtics position

Celtics vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar 74% 79.74 shares
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar 73% 79.74 shares
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar 73% 79.74 shares
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar 72% 78.68 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?

Yes 73% 150.15 shares
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10?

Yes 13% 646.15 shares
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Over 56% 24.14 shares
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

Over 68% 305 shares
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

Under 51% 10.45 shares
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 5.5

Over 37% 63 shares
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 5.5

Under 62% 30 shares
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 4.5

Over 56% 45 shares