Polymarket Trader

needneedcan

0x4669567bc46376bab22ebfb1f5d34cf5b79ccf93

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $496.47
Realized PnL: $396.68
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $125.78
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $30.47
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $25.78

$60k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $138.89
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $104.98
Potential payout: $133.73
Potential profit: $28.75
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $6.02

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $110.11
Potential payout: $122.35
Potential profit: $12.23
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.3
Potential profit: $84.3
User PnL: -$18.88

No position

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $53.31
Potential payout: $82.65
Potential profit: $29.34
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $3.31

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $4.36
Potential payout: $74.47
Potential profit: $70.11
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $66.68
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.29
Potential profit: $63.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $56.18
Potential profit: $45.93
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $5.25

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $52.06
Potential payout: $55.01
Potential profit: $2.94
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.65
Potential profit: $47.65
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $4.4
Potential payout: $43.75
Potential profit: $39.35
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $13.98
Potential payout: $42.68
Potential profit: $28.7
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $6.98

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.85
Potential profit: $40.85
User PnL: -$14.3

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.93
Potential profit: $38.93
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.05
Potential profit: $33.05
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.35
Potential profit: $32.35
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $18.75
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.7
Potential profit: $30.7
User PnL: -$17.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.61

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.92

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.46

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.95

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.68

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.45

No position

Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.64

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.15

No position

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.98

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.98

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.89

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Yes 15% 6.67 shares
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 23% 4.35 shares
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?

Yes 23% 4.35 shares
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 3% 33.33 shares
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 21.3% 4.69 shares
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 11.8% 8.47 shares