Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $837.06
- Potential profit
- $837.06
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
0x46763EfE923365323210a6aD2C01dAbCF15d6065-1772195585541
0x46763efe923365323210a6ad2c01dabcf15d6065
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $393.2
- Realized PnL
- $1.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $829.35
- Potential profit
- $829.35
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $4.76
- Potential payout
- $731.71
- Potential profit
- $726.95
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$25.24
Yes position
Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.97
- Potential payout
- $661.51
- Potential profit
- $657.54
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$76.03
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $51.47
- Potential payout
- $411.77
- Potential profit
- $360.3
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $11.47
- Potential payout
- $376.13
- Potential profit
- $364.66
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$3.53
Yes position
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $125.95
- Potential payout
- $314.89
- Potential profit
- $188.93
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$74.05
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $59.09
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $168.18
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $9.09
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $22.91
- Potential payout
- $164.23
- Potential profit
- $141.32
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- -$7.09
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $20.16
- Potential payout
- $161.29
- Potential profit
- $141.13
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.84
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $3.67
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $102.71
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$46.33
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $44.16
- Potential payout
- $80.29
- Potential profit
- $36.13
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$5.84
No position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $45.59
- Potential payout
- $74.73
- Potential profit
- $29.15
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$4.41
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.44
- Potential profit
- $69.44
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.99
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.78
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.17
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.62x
- User PnL
- $63.77
No position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.71
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.15
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.75
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.97
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.29
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.48
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.26
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.13
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.62
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.67
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.49
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.28
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.63
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.52
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $9.05
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.38
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 66.9% 74.73 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 62.3% 80.29 shares
- Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Yes 22% 227.27 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 24.3% 324.54 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes 5% 200 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 47% 106.38 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.6% 324.54 shares
- Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Yes 4% 376.13 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 12.1% 411.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 90% 135.13 shares
- Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Yes 18.3% 164.23 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 74% 135.14 shares