Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $423.99
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $737.63
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $23.99
Polymarket Trader
Flaggermusmannen
0x467b4adb82441d91cb404aa29019ad274573b849
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.52K
- Realized PnL
- $18.67
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $301.5
- Potential payout
- $900.01
- Potential profit
- $598.5
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $689.66
- Potential profit
- $689.66
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Current value
- $91.29
- Potential payout
- $641.05
- Potential profit
- $549.76
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- $3.19
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $535.71
- Potential profit
- $535.71
- User PnL
- -$257
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $302.12
- Potential payout
- $507.77
- Potential profit
- $205.65
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $2.12
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $32.33
- Potential payout
- $486.11
- Potential profit
- $453.78
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$7.67
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $228.97
- Potential payout
- $244.89
- Potential profit
- $15.92
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $38.97
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $91.49
- Potential payout
- $212.77
- Potential profit
- $121.28
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.51
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.55
- Potential profit
- $157.55
- User PnL
- -$101
Yes position
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $149.93
- Potential profit
- $144.98
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$47.53
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $23.8
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $96.69
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $20.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $79.5
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.6
- Potential profit
- $99.6
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.68
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.12
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $40.91
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.03
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $9.33
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.66
No position
Will "Crazy" be said 15+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 20)
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$64
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$217.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 20% 100 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.2% 277.78 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.7% 364.96 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 54% 185.19 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 34% 427 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 34% 600.55 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.8% 276.09 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 9% 400 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 109.76 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 103.7 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No 42% 135.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 293.65 shares