Polymarket Trader

tryn

0x46817838b1dc26ac3d6c565b66b6021eebf04036

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.94
Realized PnL: $3.76
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on November 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Mayhem by Lady Gaga be the top Spotify album for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Adam Schiff federally charged by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $2.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will The Walt Disney Company (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will Hurry Up Tomorrow by The Weeknd be the top Spotify album for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Laura Loomer join Trump administration by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

X relaunches Vine before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

No Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires TikTok before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

RedNote removed from App Store before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Was JFK assassination an inside job?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested by Friday?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Biden pardon SBF?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Tether Insolvent in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Ukraine join NATO before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

MetaMask airdrop by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mayhem by Lady Gaga be the top Spotify album for 2025?

No 99.8% 403 shares
Will The Walt Disney Company (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 92% 2.17 shares
Will Mayhem by Lady Gaga be the top Spotify album for 2025?

No 99.9% 406.51 shares
Will Hurry Up Tomorrow by The Weeknd be the top Spotify album for 2025?

No 99.8% 397.53 shares
Will Hurry Up Tomorrow by The Weeknd be the top Spotify album for 2025?

No 99.9% 398.8 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on November 8?

Yes 0.1% 3,000 shares
Will Laura Loomer join Trump administration by December 31?

No 93% 1.08 shares
Adam Schiff federally charged by December 31?

No 89% 2.25 shares
Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago?

No 94% 2.13 shares
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by September 30?

No 98% 2.04 shares
Will Trump resign in 2025?

No 95.4% 1.04 shares
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in July?

No 87% 2.3 shares