Polymarket Trader

0x468B2C8E1bbD273E30711ffDb642cAde5F15d989-1773059991258

0x468b2c8e1bbd273e30711ffdb642cade5f15d989

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.92
Realized PnL: $10.73
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $8.42
Potential profit: $7.45
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$2.03

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.11
Potential profit: $8.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $6.06
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.3
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.73

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.36
Potential profit: $3.36
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.16
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.69
Potential profit: $2.69
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.01
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.74

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $1.79
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

Ends Dec 31, 2028

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $1.52
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.06

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.78

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Ireland win?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Men's Tour de Flanders?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fun" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Cabinet meeting on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?

Ends Jan 19, 2027

Implied probability: 38.6%
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Trump say "President Xi" this week? (March 22)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 55% 1.82 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

No 33% 6.06 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

No 66% 1.52 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 65% 1.54 shares
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?

Yes 93.8% 1.61 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 27?

No 56% 1.79 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 26?

No 12.3% 8.11 shares
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?

Yes 62% 1.61 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes 23% 4 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 42% 2.27 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?

No 87.2% 2.04 shares