Polymarket Trader

Campsite

0x468f33d6d78a1095bc6767fa484a33dd6007c2a7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $573.4
Realized PnL: $5.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$30

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$700

Max Holloway position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $882.73
Potential profit: $882.73
User PnL: -$500

Moreno position

UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $822.14
Potential profit: $822.14
User PnL: -$240

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $668.33
Potential profit: $668.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $568.16
Potential payout: $642.35
Potential profit: $74.19
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $68.16

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $628.18
Potential profit: $628.18
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $626.21
Potential profit: $626.21
User PnL: -$50

Jirí Procházka position

UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $602.88
Potential profit: $602.88
User PnL: -$295.41

Joaquin Buckley position

UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10

Tai Tuivasa position

UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$50

Jacqueline Cavalcanti position

UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $344.83
User PnL: -$200

Lerone Murphy position

UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.78
Potential profit: $312.78
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.53
Potential profit: $300.53
User PnL: -$200

Chiasson position

UFC Fight Night: Macy Chiasson vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$100

Niko Price position

UFC Fight Night: Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $5.24
Potential payout: $249.71
Potential profit: $244.47
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$24.76

Vera position

UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.29
Potential profit: $239.29
User PnL: -$31

Nate Landwehr position

UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $211.45
Potential profit: $211.45
User PnL: -$98.4

Chris Duncan position

UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.41
Potential profit: $167.41
User PnL: -$98.77

Reinier de Ridder position

UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.72
Potential profit: $16.72
User PnL: -$0.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $410.28

Joe Pyfer position

UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.06

Soriano position

Soriano vs. Medic

Ends Jan 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.53

Kopylov position

Curtis vs. Kopylov

Ends Jan 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325

Bonfim position

Brown vs. Bonfim

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.57

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.78

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.24

Walker position

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang

Ends Aug 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.23

Imavov position

Adesanya vs. Imavov

Ends Feb 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.92

Strickland position

UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.59

Du Plessis position

Du Plessis vs. Strickland

Ends Feb 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.18

Yes position

Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $221.23

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.89

Yes position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.33

Oliveira position

Nurmagomedov vs. Oliveira

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.03

Joshua Van position

UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.71

Oliveira position

Oliveira vs. Gamrot

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.76

Van position

UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.43

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.5

Ponzinibbio position

Ponzinibbio vs. Harris

Ends Jan 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.4

Silva position

UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.97

Petroski position

Vieira vs. Petroski

Ends Feb 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.64

Menifield position

Menifield vs. Walker

Ends Feb 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $164.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 3% 545.33 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 77.8% 642.35 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ilia Topuria 28% 357.14 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ilia Topuria 81% 740.74 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ciryl Gane 48.7% 410.57 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ciryl Gane 50% 400 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Mauricio Ruffy 80% 250 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)

Bo Nickal 76% 289.47 shares
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 12% 249.71 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Yes 31.8% 628.18 shares
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 7.3% 545.33 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?

Yes 3% 668.33 shares