Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $53.95
- Potential payout
- $830
- Potential profit
- $776.05
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$45.65
Polymarket Trader
ilayb2000
0x4697c838cea6052ec04d82360ec32b5e44a9409f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $53.95
- Realized PnL
- -$6.12
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$2.56
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 12% 830 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?No 96.9% 8.26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 17.7% 65.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 47% 25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 48% 25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 52% 23.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 63% 23.25 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No 47% 0.39 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No 48% 0.39 shares