Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $205.04
- Potential profit
- $204.63
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Polymarket Trader
0x4698...f54a
0x469856014ebd4ba6f10ed22aa6bf73c6a60ff54a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $7.54
- Realized PnL
- $168.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $150.17
- Potential profit
- $149.87
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $121.01
- Potential profit
- $120.71
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $82.94
- Potential profit
- $82.57
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $4.14
- Potential payout
- $81.41
- Potential profit
- $77.27
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- $3.04
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $3.67
- Potential profit
- $3.22
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $1.77
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 3?No 1.4% 81.41 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on July 3?Yes 0.7% 150.17 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 3?Yes 0.9% 121.01 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 3?No 22% 4.58 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on July 3?Yes 0.5% 205.04 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 3?No 24% 4.58 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 3?Yes 1.3% 82.94 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 3?Yes 62% 1.77 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 3?Yes 30% 3.67 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 3?No 99% 1.12 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 3?No 97% 1.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 27?No 99% 1.1 shares