Polymarket Trader

anon.1980.123

0x46992d0e547e3822a9c28723f51bfa804ae4e03c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $60.79K
Realized PnL: $84.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $6.92K
Potential payout: $7.38K
Potential profit: $465.22
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $51.56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $4.96K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: $176.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $4.38K
Potential payout: $4.59K
Potential profit: $206.49
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$129.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $4.05K
Potential payout: $4.05K
Potential profit: $8.11
User PnL: $66.45

No position

Will Trump publicly insult Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $3.4K
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $36.04
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $67.61

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $2.9K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $100.57
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $41.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: $64.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.99K
Potential payout: $2.99K
Potential profit: $1.49
User PnL: $63.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.78K
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $1.39
User PnL: $30.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $2.73K
Potential payout: $2.77K
Potential profit: $40.1
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $135.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2.36K
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $2.36
User PnL: $61.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $7.85
User PnL: $17.14

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $80.51
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $16.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2.03K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $3.04
User PnL: $45.26

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 15-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.93K
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $16.56
User PnL: $41.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $0.96
User PnL: $48.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.78K
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.78
User PnL: $42.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $69.37
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.31

No position

Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $18.78
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $42.02
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $11.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $7.89
User PnL: $9.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $0.53
User PnL: $22.53

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $1K
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $45.02
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$12.38

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $940.18
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $70.77
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$10.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.71K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.02K

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.35K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.23K

Yes position

Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24K

No position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49K

No position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37K

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33K

No position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12K

Yes position

Will Slovakia vs. Montenegro end in a draw?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03K

No position

Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

No position

Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

No position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026?

Yes 96.9% 1,047 shares
Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

No 98.7% 686.54 shares
Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Yes 99.3% 548.53 shares
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

New York Mets 95% 2,500 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

No 82% 5,000 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 19?

No 98.4% 4,341.86 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?

No 98.2% 3,198.72 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 19?

No 98.5% 1,325.88 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 19?

No 97.3% 1,663.48 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 19?

No 98.7% 271.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 19?

No 99% 299.85 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 18?

No 98% 998 shares