Polymarket Trader

PubgWithoutSaving

0x46993766421015bf9483046d36db8be552cd7822

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.2K
Realized PnL: $1.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $264.14
Potential payout: $433.02
Potential profit: $168.88
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $34.14

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $212.5
Potential payout: $289.11
Potential profit: $76.62
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $52.5

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $202.16
Potential payout: $236.44
Potential profit: $34.28
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $22.16

Yes position

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $167.81
Potential payout: $228.31
Potential profit: $60.5
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$32.19

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.17
Potential profit: $198.17
User PnL: -$180.01

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$150

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $127.26
Potential payout: $130.19
Potential profit: $2.93
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $7.26

No position

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $83.38
Potential payout: $116.61
Potential profit: $33.23
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $13.38

No position

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $106.53
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $7.1
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $6.53

Yes position

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $31.83
Potential payout: $77.62
Potential profit: $45.8
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$8.17

Yes position

Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $40.45
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.49

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.61

Astralis position

BLAST Bounty: Astralis vs. Natus Vincere

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.91

No position

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $122.77

No position

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.22

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.37

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.33

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.66

Yes position

Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.86

Yes position

Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.13

Yes position

Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.34

Yes position

Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.49

Yes position

Will Russia enter Sviato-Pokrovske by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.86

Yes position

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

No position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

Will Russia enter Orikhiv by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.81

Yes position

Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.75

No position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.4

No position

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by March 31, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.72

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

No position

Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.97

No position

Will Russia capture any territory in Lyman by December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.85

Yes position

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

No position

Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 88% 68.18 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

G2 50% 67 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

G2 93% 32.26 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

G2 57% 17.54 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

G2 57% 17.54 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 29% 35.71 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

No 67.2% 102.69 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Yes 60% 50 shares
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?

Yes 87.6% 228.31 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Yes 62% 80.65 shares
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 84.5% 35.5 shares
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 38% 26.32 shares