flyip

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $327.55
Potential payout: $13.94K
Potential profit: $13.61K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $122.9
Potential payout: $12.29K
Potential profit: $12.17K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$74.85

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $37.73
Potential payout: $10.78K
Potential profit: $10.74K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$109.57

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $150.5
Potential payout: $10.38K
Potential profit: $10.23K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$45.88

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $175.79
Potential payout: $9.01K
Potential profit: $8.84K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$40.17

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.64K
Potential profit: $7.64K
User PnL: -$66.37

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$452.3

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $363.39
Potential payout: $4.85K
Potential profit: $4.48K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$90.8

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $709.57
Potential payout: $4.42K
Potential profit: $3.71K
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: $32.37

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $82.98
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.47K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $110.18
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $2.43K
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $163.54
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $2.35K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$83.86

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $356.18
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $2.1K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$57.38

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $321.68
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$120.51

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $120.15
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $2.04K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $268.1
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $231.68

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $88.03
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$77.36

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 23.7%
Current value: $264.56
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $854.1
Multiplier: 4.23x
User PnL: -$9.33

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $204.7
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $910.81
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: $25.48

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $979.39
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $102.81
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $28.84

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 39.6%
Current value: $369.65
Potential payout: $933.45
Potential profit: $563.8
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$53.94

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25.8%
Current value: $202.46
Potential payout: $786.24
Potential profit: $583.78
Multiplier: 3.88x
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will BNB reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $58.18
Potential payout: $727.26
Potential profit: $669.08
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$10.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $761.11

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.35

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $350.38

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $187.87

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.52

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.55

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $132.93

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $125.12

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $124.24

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $107.31

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.27

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.73

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.92

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.49

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88.22

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $81.95

Yes position

Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.32

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.45

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $73.14

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 23.9%
Multiplier: 4.19x
User PnL: $71.9

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $70.47

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?