No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $10.68K
- Potential payout
- $11.09K
- Potential profit
- $404.6
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $13.35
Polymarket Trader
0x46a121E4DF5FdD6CF042A4EDe1E90672583E2736
0x46a121e4df5fdd6cf042a4ede1e90672583e2736
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.68K
- Realized PnL
- $13.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.94K
- Potential profit
- $4.94K
- User PnL
- -$1.81K
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $4.52K
- Potential payout
- $4.7K
- Potential profit
- $176.25
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $781.38
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $3.47K
- Potential payout
- $4.15K
- Potential profit
- $684.75
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.24
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.39K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- User PnL
- -$213.56
No position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.81K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $195
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $855
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $2.85K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $150
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $570
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $2.89K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $107.86
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $341.54
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $2.5K
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $102.7
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $729.3
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $2.2K
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $88.08
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$29.81
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$737.13
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.85K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $150
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $590.34
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.83K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $170
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.75K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $250
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $333
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 6.01x
- User PnL
- -$132.99
No position
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $465.46
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $637.75
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.72K
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $180.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $128.03
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$24.63
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $411.32
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$31.05
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $97.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $397.5
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $1.35K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $150
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $195
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$15.53
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- User PnL
- -$193.22
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $855.97
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $157.01
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $375.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $877.67
No position
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $827.54
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $811.41
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $751.56
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $704.58
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $675.27
No position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $632.39
No position
Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $585.93
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $483.96
No position
Ethereum all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437
No position
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.98
No position
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.05
Yes position
$BTC dips below $55k before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304
No position
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282
No position
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.08
No position
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $270
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.8
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.77
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.9
No position
Ethereum all time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No 98.3% 300 shares
- SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?SpaceX 97.5% 185 shares
- SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?SpaceX 97.4% 45 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No 78% 73 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No 77% 40 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 52% 100 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 93.7% 50 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 93.5% 284 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No 83.7% 30 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 32 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 94.4% 401 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?No 97% 90 shares